Modeling nominal exchange rates in Uganda. A comparison between traditional unit root tests and fractional integration
Date
2020
Authors
Nabatanzi, Catherine Kamya
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Strathmore University
Abstract
This paper analyzes six major nominal exchange rates in Uganda, determining whether shocks in
each series are transitory or permanent in the long run. We obtain results from traditional unit root
tests and compare these to the results from newer fractional integration techniques that have been
shown to have higher power in establishing stationarity or mean-reversion. The results show
evidence of mean reversion in the cases of Euro and Kenya shilling, but not for the US dollar,
Japanese Yen, the Pound and the Canadian dollar. This means that the shocks affecting the latter
currencies do not dissipate in the long run.
Description
Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Bachelor of Business Science Financial Economics at Strathmore University