SU+ @ Strathmore University Library Electronic Theses and Dissertations This work is availed for free and open access by Strathmore University Library. It has been accepted for digital distribution by an authorized administrator of SU+ @Strathmore University. For more information, please contact library@strathmore.edu 2025 An Assessment of factors influencing retirement saving among youth in Nairobi County, Kenya. Toroitich, Cherop Strathmore Business School Strathmore University Recommended Citation Toroitich, C. (2025). An Assessment of factors influencing retirement saving among youth in Nairobi County, Kenya [Strathmore University]. http://hdl.handle.net/11071/15957 Follow this and additional works at: http://hdl.handle.net/11071/15957 https://su-plus.strathmore.edu/ https://su-plus.strathmore.edu/ http://hdl.handle.net/11071/2474 mailto:library@strathmore.edu http://hdl.handle.net/11071/15957 http://hdl.handle.net/11071/15957 AN ASSESSMENT OF FACTORS INFLUENCING RETIREMENT SAVING AMONG YOUTH IN NAIROBI COUNTY, KENYA CHEROP TOROITICH MPPM 2019: 123793 A Dissertation Submitted in Partial Fulfilment for the Degree of Master of Public Policy and Management at Strathmore University May 2025 i DECLARATION I declare that this work has not been previously submitted and approved for the award of a degree by this or any other university. To the best of my knowledge and belief, the thesis contains no material previously published or written by another person except where due reference is made in the proposal itself. Cherop Toroitich MPPM: 123793 Signature: Date………21/05/2025………………… This proposal was reviewed and approved for examination by: Dr. Thomas Kibua Signature: Date:………21/05/2025………………… ii ABSTRACT This study examined the factors influencing retirement saving behaviour among youth in Nairobi County, Kenya, and their implications for reducing old-age poverty. Despite economic growth and improved financial inclusion over the years, retirement savings among the youth remain critically low. This is largely due to unemployment, informal employment, financial illiteracy, and a focus on short-term consumption needs. The research was guided by the life- cycle hypothesis and the theory of planned behaviour and aimed to assess how socioeconomic, psychosocial, and institutional factors affect youth retirement saving practices. To achieve these objectives, the study employed a mixed-method approach. Quantitative data was collected from youth respondents, and qualitative insights were drawn from interviews with policymakers and financial service providers. Socioeconomic factors such as income level, education, and employment type emerged as significant predictors of saving behaviour. In contrast, family obligations were found to have a negative impact on the ability to save. Psychosocial factors, particularly financial literacy and future orientation were positively associated with saving, although risk attitude was statistically insignificant. Institutional factors such as awareness of pension schemes, access to financial services, and trust in financial institutions also significantly influenced saving behaviour. The findings underscore the need for a multifaceted approach to improve youth retirement saving. Key recommendations include strengthening financial literacy through education, expanding digital pension platforms for informal workers, and revising policy frameworks to encourage voluntary contributions. This study provides a foundation for future research and policy action to build a savings culture and address the risk of old-age poverty among Kenya's youth. iii TABLE OF CONTENTS DECLARATION .............................................................................................................................. i ABSTRACT ..................................................................................................................................... ii LIST OF TABLES .......................................................................................................................... vi LIST OF FIGURES ....................................................................................................................... vii LIST OF APPENDICES ............................................................................................................... viii DEFINITION OF TERMS ............................................................................................................. ix ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ............................................................................................................... x DEDICATION ................................................................................................................................ xi CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................... 1 1.1. Introduction ........................................................................................................................... 1 1.2. Background to the Study ....................................................................................................... 1 1.2.1. Retirement saving .......................................................................................................... 3 1.2.2. Factors influencing retirement saving behaviour among the youth ............................... 3 1.3. Statement of the Problem ...................................................................................................... 4 1.4. Research objectives ............................................................................................................... 5 1.4.1. General Objective .......................................................................................................... 5 1.4.2. Specific Objectives ........................................................................................................ 6 1.5. Research questions ................................................................................................................ 6 1.6. Significance of the study ....................................................................................................... 6 1.7. Scope of the study ................................................................................................................. 8 CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW ......................................................................................... 9 2.1. Introduction ........................................................................................................................... 9 2.2. Theoretical literature ............................................................................................................. 9 2.2.1. Life cycle hypothesis ..................................................................................................... 9 2.2.2. Theory of planned behaviour. ...................................................................................... 11 iv 2.3. Empirical literature ............................................................................................................. 12 2.3.1. Socio-Economic Factors Influencing Retirement Saving Behaviour .......................... 12 2.3.2. Psychosocial Factors Influencing Retirement Saving Behaviour ................................ 14 2.3.3. Institutional Factors Influencing Retirement Saving Behaviour ................................. 15 2.3.4. Summary of reviewed literature .................................................................................. 16 2.3.5. Research gaps .............................................................................................................. 17 2.4. Conceptual Framework ....................................................................................................... 22 2.5. Operationalization of variables ........................................................................................... 23 CHAPTER 3: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY ........................................................................... 26 3.1. Introduction ......................................................................................................................... 26 3.2. Research Philosophy ........................................................................................................... 26 3.3. Research Approach ............................................................................................................. 27 3.4. Research Design ................................................................................................................. 27 3.5. Population of the Study ....................................................................................................... 28 3.6. Sampling and Sample Size ................................................................................................. 29 3.7. Data Collection methods ..................................................................................................... 33 3.7.1. Data Collection Procedure ........................................................................................... 33 3.8. Reliability and validity of instruments ................................................................................ 34 3.8.1. Reliability .................................................................................................................... 34 3.8.2. Validity ........................................................................................................................ 35 3.9. Data analysis ....................................................................................................................... 36 3.9.1. Quantitative Data Analysis .......................................................................................... 36 3.9.2. Qualitative Data Analysis ............................................................................................ 37 3.10. Ethical considerations ....................................................................................................... 37 CHAPTER 4: DATA ANALYSIS AND FINDINGS ................................................................... 38 4.1. Introduction ......................................................................................................................... 38 v 4.2. Response Rate ..................................................................................................................... 38 4.3. Demographic Data .............................................................................................................. 39 4.4. Descriptive Statistics ........................................................................................................... 46 4.4.1. Psychosocial factors affecting retirement savings behaviour among youth ................ 46 4.4.2. Institutional factors affecting retirement savings behaviour among youth .................. 48 4.4.3. Retirement planning knowledge and behaviour .......................................................... 50 4.5. Inferential Statistics ............................................................................................................ 53 4.5.1. Socioeconomic factors affecting retirement savings behaviour among youth ............ 54 4.5.2. Psychosocial factors affecting retirement savings behaviour among youth ................ 55 4.5.3. Institutional factors affecting retirement savings behaviour among youth .................. 56 CHAPTER 5: DISCUSSIONS, CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ..................... 57 5.1. Introduction ......................................................................................................................... 57 5.2. Discussion of the findings ................................................................................................... 57 5.2.1. Socioeconomic Factors and Retirement Saving Behaviour ......................................... 57 5.2.2. Psychosocial Factors and Retirement Saving Behaviour ............................................ 58 5.2.3. Institutional Factors and Youth Participation in Retirement Saving ........................... 59 5.3. Conclusions ......................................................................................................................... 60 5.4. Recommendations ............................................................................................................... 60 5.4.1. Policy recommendations .............................................................................................. 60 5.4.2. Practical Recommendations ......................................................................................... 61 5.5. Suggestions For Further Studies ......................................................................................... 62 5.6. Limitations of the Study ..................................................................................................... 63 CHAPTER 6: REFERENCES ....................................................................................................... 64 vi LIST OF TABLES Table 2.1: Summary of Reviewed Literature and Identified Gaps .......................................... 19 Table 2.2: Definition and measurement of variables ............................................................... 23 Table 3.1: Population of Nairobi sub counties ......................................................................... 28 Table 3.2: Calculated Sample Size .......................................................................................... 30 Table 3.3: Sample size per sector per subcounty ..................................................................... 31 Table 3.4: Reliability test results ............................................................................................. 35 Table 4.1: Response Rate ......................................................................................................... 38 Table 4.2:Proportion of savings by age group ......................................................................... 40 Table 4.3: Average monthly savings by Education Level ....................................................... 41 Table 4.4: Education Level and Retirement Saving Participation ........................................... 42 Table 4.5: Marital status and number of dependents of respondents ....................................... 42 Table 4.6: Employment Status and Retirement Saving Participation ...................................... 43 Table 4.7: Income level and number of years worked of respondents .................................... 44 Table 4.8: Income Level and Retirement Saving Participation ............................................... 44 Table 4.9: Descriptive statistics for psychosocial factors ........................................................ 47 Table 4.10: Descriptive statistics for institutional factors ....................................................... 49 Table 4.11: Reasons for not thinking of retirement saving ...................................................... 50 Table 4.12: Respondents' anticipated retirement age ............................................................... 51 Table 4.13: Correlation Analysis ............................................................................................. 53 vii LIST OF FIGURES Figure 2.1: Conceptual Framework ......................................................................................... 22 Figure 4.1: Number of respondents by sub county .................................................................. 39 Figure 4.2: Respondents' Gender ............................................................................................. 40 Figure 4.3: Employment status of respondents ........................................................................ 43 Figure 4.4: Respondents' financial situation ............................................................................ 45 Figure 4.5: Financial priorities of respondents ........................................................................ 45 Figure 4.6: Perceived barriers to retirement savings ............................................................... 48 Figure 4.7: Proportion saving for retirement ........................................................................... 51 Figure 4.8: Reasons for not saving for retirement ................................................................... 52 Figure 4.9: Extent of Retirement Savings Knowledge ............................................................ 52 Figure 4.10: Retirement saving methods ................................................................................. 53 viii LIST OF APPENDICES Appendix 1: Introduction Letter .............................................................................................. 71 Appendix 2: Survey Questionnaire .......................................................................................... 72 Appendix 3: Key Informant Interview Guide .......................................................................... 80 Appendix 4: SU -ISERC Approval .......................................................................................... 82 Appendix 5: NACOSTI License .............................................................................................. 83 ix DEFINITION OF TERMS Financial Literacy The ability to understand and effectively use various financial skills, including personal financial management, budgeting, and investing. Informal Employment Work that is not regulated by formal contracts or covered by labour legislation, often lacking social protection and pension benefits. Life-Cycle Hypothesis (LCH) An economic theory suggesting individuals plan consumption and savings behaviour over their lifetime to maintain a stable standard of living. Pension Scheme A structured program that enables individuals to contribute toward a fund that provides income upon retirement. Retirement Benefits Authority (RBA) The regulatory body established under the Retirement Benefits Act to supervise, regulate, and promote retirement schemes in Kenya. Retirement Saving The act of setting aside financial resources during one’s working life to ensure income security during retirement. Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB) A behavioural theory that explains how attitudes, social norms, and perceived control influence an individual’s intention to perform a behaviour. Youth Individuals aged between 18 and 35 years, as defined by Kenya’s national youth policy. x ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I wish to express my sincere gratitude to everyone who supported me throughout the course of this academic journey. I extend my deepest appreciation to my family for their unwavering love, encouragement, and patience. To my dear husband, thank you for your constant support, understanding, and belief in me even during the most demanding phases of this journey. Your encouragement kept me going when the road became tough. Above all, I give thanks to God for the strength, grace, and clarity of purpose that carried me through. xi DEDICATION This work is lovingly dedicated to the memory of my beloved “twin” Chebet Toroitich. Though you are no longer physically present, your spirit has remained with me every step of the way. Your unwavering belief in me, your laughter, and your light continue to inspire and strengthen me. This achievement is a tribute to the bond we will always share. To my dear husband, thank you for your love, patience, and steadfast support. Your encouragement has been my anchor throughout this journey. 1 CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION 1.1. Introduction This chapter introduces the study by presenting the background and rationale behind examining retirement saving behaviour among youth in Nairobi County, Kenya. It begins by contextualising the issue of old-age financial insecurity and the global and local challenges related to youth participation in pension systems. The chapter further outlines the statement of the problem, research objectives, and research questions, followed by the significance and justification of the study. It also details the scope, limitations, and organisation of the thesis. Collectively, these elements provide a comprehensive foundation for understanding the purpose and structure of the research. 1.2. Background to the Study Old-age poverty and financial insecurity in retirement are growing global concerns, particularly as populations age and traditional support systems erode. According to the United Nations (2015), nearly half of all people of retirement age globally do not receive a pension. In developing countries, pension systems are especially vulnerable, often covering only a small fraction of the population (Lyons et al., 2018). These challenges reflect the evolving and often fragile nature of social protection systems, especially across Africa, where pension infrastructure is still maturing. Rapid urbanisation, shifting demographics, and economic transitions have compounded the complexity of ensuring long-term financial security, especially for vulnerable populations (ILO 2022). Historically, many African societies, including Kenya, relied on informal social protection structures primarily extended families to support the elderly (Cohen et al., 2006). However, urbanisation, modernisation, and changing family dynamics have significantly weakened these informal systems, leaving many older adults without support and perpetuating cycles of old- age poverty. In response, governments have established formal retirement systems to reduce reliance on family and public resources. In Kenya, the formal retirement system was introduced in 1965 with the establishment of the National Social Security Fund (NSSF) under Cap 258 of the Laws of Kenya. Initially designed as a provident fund, the NSSF was later restructured into a defined contribution scheme through reforms in 2013. Despite these changes, NSSF continues to face challenges such as low 2 coverage, especially among informal sector workers, limited investment diversity, and delays in benefits disbursement factors that undermine its effectiveness in securing old-age income (World Bank, 2023; Cytonn Investments, 2024). To strengthen regulatory oversight, the Retirement Benefits Authority (RBA) was established in 1997. Over time, the Authority has introduced reforms to improve scheme governance and compliance. Nevertheless, the pension system remains limited in reach and inclusivity. Informal workers remain largely excluded, and uptake of voluntary contributions among youth is low. These gaps have resulted in persistently low participation rates, especially among young people, further increasing the risk of future old-age poverty (RBA, 2023). Kenya's demographic profile underscores the urgency of addressing youth retirement preparedness. Over 60% of the population is aged between 18 and 35 years; a group that holds immense economic potential for the country. However, studies show that Kenyan youth are poorly prepared for retirement (Safari et al., 2021). Many lack the knowledge, motivation, and attitudes necessary to cultivate long-term saving habits. Several barriers contribute to this trend. Youth often prioritise immediate financial needs such as education, housing, and family support, leaving little room for retirement savings. This behaviour reflects a broader poor saving culture in Kenya, which, if left unaddressed, could translate into widespread dependence and poverty in later life (Enwealth, 2022). Financial planning and early savings are, therefore, critical to ensuring long-term financial security. As Hershey & Mowen (2000) argue, inadequate pre-retirement planning is a key contributor to economic challenges in retirement. Further complicating the situation is the structure of Kenya’s labour market. According to IPSOS (2020), a large proportion of Kenyan youth work in the informal sector or gig economy, which often falls outside the formal pension system. This makes it difficult for many young people to access or contribute to retirement savings plans. Despite these challenges, there is limited data on how Kenyan youth perceive and prioritise retirement savings. Existing studies on saving behaviour tend to focus on either economic or demographic factors (Yusof & Sabri, 2017). They often neglect the influence of psychosocial and institutional dynamics. A more holistic understanding of these interconnected factors is essential to design effective policy interventions. In the Kenyan context, research that integrates socioeconomic, 3 psychosocial, and institutional dimensions is urgently needed to inform inclusive policies that promote a saving culture and improve retirement preparedness among youth. 1.2.1. Retirement saving Retirement refers to permanent withdrawal from paid working life (Denton & Spencer, 2009). It is normally associated with exit from employment at defined retirement age but can also be performed prior to attaining the prescribed age due to a variety of reasons (Atchley, 1982). Upon retirement, individuals who have saved and planned accordingly can access their retirement benefits savings and use it as a source of income post work life. The retirement benefits can take various forms of payments which include a lump sum- where the retiree gets full access to their entire benefits; pension- where a retiree gains access to a percentage of their benefits upon retirement and receives smaller subsequent payments on a regular basis. Retirement benefits are therefore necessary to help alleviate old age poverty (Stewart & Yermo, 2009) . Recent statistics from the Retirement Benefits Authority reveal that only about 20% of Kenya's working population participates in formal retirement schemes (Retirement Benefits Authority, 2024). The situation is particularly dire among Kenyan youth, where participation rates are even lower. This low participation rate is concerning given that Kenya's old age dependency ratio is projected to increase significantly in the coming decades, potentially creating a substantial social and economic burden. Retirement planning is therefore necessary to equip one with the necessary skills and abilities required to ensure adequate retirement preparedness and savings that will eventually lead to reduced old age poverty. 1.2.2. Factors influencing retirement saving behaviour among the youth Studies by Foster (2017), Indapurkar et al. (2024), and Xie et al. (2023) indicate a knowledge gap when it comes to retirement planning and saving among young people. Many young people have been noted to have inadequate knowledge on basic financial concepts, investment options and the importance of early retirement savings for their retirement security. This has resulted in poor retirement savings decision making and financial insecurity in the retirement years. Compounding this challenge with high costs of living makes it challenging for Kenyan youth to save for retirement. The high cost of living in Nairobi, coupled with irregular income patterns and unemployment challenges, creates immediate financial pressures that often override long-term saving 4 considerations. Youth frequently prioritize immediate needs and short-term investments over retirement saving, creating a significant gap in their future financial security (IPSOS, 2020). The current pension system structure may not adequately address the needs and circumstances of young workers, particularly those in the informal sector. Complex registration processes, minimum contribution requirements, and limited flexibility in pension products can discourage youth participation (World Bank, 2023). The rapid growth of financial technology (fintech) in Kenya, particularly mobile money services like M-PESA, has created new opportunities for retirement saving. These innovations have the potential to increase financial inclusion and make retirement saving more accessible to youth. However, the impact of these technological advances on youth retirement saving behaviour remains understudied (FSD Kenya, 2021). The Kenyan government has implemented various policies aimed at enhancing retirement security and promoting saving. The recent reform of the NSSF Act in 2013 and initiatives to expand pension coverage to informal sector workers demonstrate policy commitment to addressing retirement security (World Bank, 2023). However, the effectiveness of these policies in encouraging youth participation in retirement saving schemes requires further evaluation. 1.3. Statement of the Problem Globally, increased life expectancy has highlighted the urgent need for robust retirement saving practices to mitigate old-age poverty. In Kenya, this challenge is particularly acute, as only 3% of the elderly population receives a regular pension income (Kakwani et al., 2006). Despite notable economic growth and financial sector expansion in recent years, a significant proportion of Kenyan youth remain inadequately prepared for retirement. This lack of preparedness poses a growing threat to their future financial security and risks compounding the burden on families and public support systems. Prior studies underscore the importance of early retirement planning and saving in achieving financial stability in old age (Hershey & Mowen, 2000; Yusof & Sabri, 2017). However, youth in Kenya particularly those in Nairobi continue to face significant structural and behavioural barriers. These include high unemployment rates, irregular income, high living costs, and competing financial priorities. The situation is further complicated by Kenya’s labour market composition, where over 80% of the workforce operates in the informal sector and lacks access 5 to formal retirement arrangements (Paklina, 2018). With youth comprising more than 70% of the national population, the exclusion of this demographic from pension systems signals a looming crisis. Although the Retirement Benefits Authority (RBA) has introduced reforms to expand coverage, current data show that only about 20% of Kenya’s working population participates in formal retirement schemes (RBA, 2023). This coverage is even lower among youth, who are often unaware of or excluded from institutional pension products. Social shifts such as urbanisation and weakening family safety nets have further diminished traditional old-age support mechanisms (Cohen et al., 2006; Thuku, 2013). These developments make personal retirement planning more essential than ever. Previous studies have examined economic and demographic factors influencing saving behaviour (Fan et al., 2021; Githui & Ngare, 2014). However, few have comprehensively explored how socioeconomic, psychosocial, and institutional factors interact to shape retirement saving behaviour among youth in Kenya. Notably, the role of psychosocial variables such as financial literacy, future orientation, and motivation remains underexplored in this context (Ibeme, 2014). Additionally, institutional barriers such as rigid contribution structures and inadequate policy incentives continue to discourage participation (The National Treasury, 2023). This study, therefore, addresses a critical research gap by investigating the interplay of socioeconomic, psychosocial, and institutional factors influencing retirement saving behaviour among youth in Nairobi County. By building on previous work while extending it to include underexamined variables, the study aims to inform inclusive policies and interventions that can foster a savings culture and enhance long-term financial security for Kenya’s youth. 1.4. Research objectives 1.4.1. General Objective The overall objective of this research was to examine the factors influencing retirement saving behaviour among the youth in Kenya and their implications for old age poverty mitigation. 6 1.4.2. Specific Objectives The specific objectives of the study were to: i. Evaluate the impact of socioeconomic factors (income levels, employment status, education, and family obligations) on retirement saving decisions among youth in Nairobi County. ii. Determine the relationship between psychosocial factors and retirement saving practices among youth in Nairobi County. iii. Examine the influence of institutional factors (access to formal financial services, pension scheme features, and regulatory framework) on youth participation in retirement saving programs in Nairobi County. While retirement saving is influenced by various factors including cultural, economic, and policy related dynamics, this study focused on socioeconomic, psychosocial, and institutional factors due to their strong theoretical grounding and practical relevance in the Kenyan context. Socioeconomic conditions affect the ability to save, psychosocial traits shape saving intentions, and institutional factors influence access and trust in retirement saving mechanisms. Together, these dimensions offer a comprehensive and policy-relevant lens for understanding youth saving behaviour, especially within urban and informal employment settings 1.5. Research questions To achieve the general objective, this study addressed the following questions. i. How do socioeconomic factors (income levels, employment status, education, and family obligations) impact retirement saving decisions among youth in Nairobi County. ii. To what extent do perceptions and attitudes determine retirement saving practices among youth in Nairobi County. iii. To what extent do institutional factors (access to formal financial services, pension scheme features, and regulatory framework) influence youth participation in retirement saving programs in Nairobi County? 1.6. Significance of the study This study provides a multidimensional understanding of the factors influencing retirement saving behaviour among youth in Kenya, focusing on the intersection of socioeconomic, psychosocial, and institutional variables. It is significant for theory, policy, and practice. From 7 a theoretical standpoint, the research contributes to the academic body of knowledge by integrating and empirically applying the Life-Cycle Hypothesis and the Theory of Planned Behaviour. While most existing studies in Kenya concentrate narrowly on financial literacy, this research broadens the scope to include behavioural intent and institutional factors such as access to pension products and trust in financial systems. By doing so, it fills a knowledge gap and offers contextualised evidence on youth saving patterns in an environment characterised by high informality and economic precarity. The findings thus enhance the explanatory power of the two frameworks when applied in developing country settings. From a policy perspective, the study provides valuable insights to support the development of inclusive, evidence-based strategies and regulatory frameworks aimed at promoting early and consistent retirement saving behaviour among youth. This includes informing the work of the Retirement Benefits Authority (RBA), the National Treasury, and other key policy actors. The findings highlight the importance of implementing youth-targeted financial education, mobile- enabled pension solutions, simplified registration procedures, and incentive-based mechanisms such as tax reliefs and government matching contributions. These insights are particularly crucial in addressing the long-term risk of old-age poverty and improving the standards of living among future retirees. Practically, the study offers useful recommendations to pension and provident scheme providers on how to structure retirement saving products that are attractive and accessible to the youth. It highlights the need for flexible contribution mechanisms, trust-building measures, transparent communication, and simplified onboarding processes. In doing so, it guides providers in adopting best practices that resonate with young savers. Furthermore, the study has implications for financial educators, curriculum developers, and civil society actors, reinforcing the need to incorporate retirement planning into secondary and tertiary education as part of a broader strategy to instil a savings culture from an early age. Overall, the study’s findings present an in-depth understanding of the complex dynamics influencing retirement saving behaviour among youth and provide actionable recommendations for improving financial inclusion, supporting policy reforms, and guiding institutional innovation in Kenya’s pension landscape.. 8 1.7. Scope of the study The study focused on the factors influencing retirement savings among the youth in Nairobi. Nairobi was chosen by the researcher as the area of study due to its evolving socioeconomic landscape and being the largest urban centre in the country. Nairobi also has the highest number of Kenyan youths seeking employment and economic opportunities. The diversity of the neighbourhoods offered by the geographical location creates varying socioeconomic and psychosocial conditions that influence retirement saving behaviours making it suitable for the study. The scope of the unit of analysis of the study was employed Kenyan youth. The scope of the research instrument was limited to semi-structured questionnaires and Key Informant Interviews (KIIs). The scope of the respondents of the study was therefore Nairobi youth working in both formal and informal employment. In the context of this study, youth was regarded as employed persons aged 18 to 35 years as defined by (Constitution of Kenya, Chapter 17, Article 260 (2010). 9 CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1. Introduction This chapter reviews the literature on the retirement savings and factors that determine retirement saving patterns. The chapter will begin with the theoretical review of theories and empirical literature that underpin this study which form the basis of establishing a conceptual framework. 2.2. Theoretical literature 2.2.1. Life cycle hypothesis The life-cycle hypothesis was developed by Franco Modigliani in 1957. The hypothesis is an economic theory that explains how people manage their spending and saving throughout their lives. It suggests that individuals aim to maintain a stable level of consumption by borrowing during periods of low income and saving during times of high income. Accordingly, it infers those individuals plan their consumption, saving, and dissaving behaviour with a mind to smoothen out changes in their lifestyles over the course of their lifetimes (Fan, Stebbins, & Kim, 2021). The life-cycle hypothesis assumes that people earn majority of their income during their working years. Further, it assumes that consumers are logical, forward-thinkers and proactive planners. This means that people will plan accordingly during their working age to ensure wealth accumulation. Wealth accumulation according to Franco Modigliani follows a hump- shaped curve where it is assumes that individuals have a low saving rate when younger as there have less income; high rate of saving when middle- aged/ working age as they earn more income and low rate of savings when old (Hayes, 2021). Another assumption is that individuals will maintain the same level of consumptions by saving when their income is high and borrowing when income is low. The theory suggests that savings are corelated to income levels where it assumes that those with more income will save more while those with less income will save less. Additionally, it assumes that those with higher income are considered to be more financially savvy and are more likely to make better financial decisions as compared to those that have less disposable income. 10 In practice, people vary greatly in their consumption habits which are subject to erratic fluctuations across periods of relative success and hardship. There are also several factors that modulate old age poverty. These include positive structural factors such as government welfare programmes for retirees and negative structural factors such as the economic effects of pandemics. They also include positive sociocultural factors, such as private cash transfers and care from relatives as well as negative sociocultural factors such as an unexpected need to care for relatives (Kwan & Walsh, 2018). Such factors are distinct from the individualistic economic activities of borrowing, saving and dissaving advocated by Modigliani as the core of lifestyle stability. The life-cycle theory is, therefore, less useful as a descriptive model of lifetime consumption behaviour and is better used to identify the considerations useful to retirement planning during employment instead. The life cycle theory has also faced criticisms due to its assumptions that may not be reflective on today’s society. It assumes that people are rational and forward thinkers; however, this is not the case as individuals have been shown to be poor planners. Additionally, they lack the discipline to prioritise their spending vis a vie savings. It also assumes that people do not work during old-age and that wealth generated is depleted during this stage of people’s life. This is not the case as individuals have been shown to have an attachment to wealth and a reluctance to spend. Further, it has been observed that the elderly do not fully retire from employment with many choosing to work during retirement. They also do not run down the wealth they have accumulated but rather save up with the intention of bequeathing to the next generation. Additionally, people may not have intentions to save where a governments have provided social security (Pettinger, 2019). Despite all the criticisms of the life-cycle hypothesis, Deaton (2005) argues that it is an essential theory that informs on issues such as provision of private and public social security, the impact of demographic shifts on national savings, the significance of savings in economic growth, and the factors influencing national wealth. It also provides a guide on how individuals should prioritize spending and saving where it encourages borrowing during low income phase and saving during high income cycles (Mpaata et al., 2020). The life-cycle hypothesis can be observed in saving for retirement as it is assumed to be part of a normative lifecycle. This is viewed in individuals who save during their earning period to be able to afford a similar lifestyle upon retirement. Majority of those in formal employment save for their retirement through an employer-sponsored program where contributions are 11 directly remitted from wages. However, those in non-formal working arrangements with an irregular income are often observed to save less towards their retirement savings. This theory directly informs the first and third objectives of the study. The first objective explores how socioeconomic factors like income, education, and employment type influence retirement saving. According to the hypothesis, these are critical determinants because they impact an individual's capacity and motivation to save during high-income years. The third objective, which examines institutional factors, also aligns with the life-cycle hypothesis framework. Institutional arrangements such as pension access, policy incentives, and trust play a significant role in determining whether individuals, especially those in informal employment, can participate in retirement saving during their peak earning years. This theory therefore supports the research objectives hypothesis that demographic and socio-economic and policy factors have an influence on retirement savings. 2.2.2. Theory of planned behaviour. The theory of planned behaviour was developed by Icek Ajzen in 1985 and is aimed at understanding human behaviour. It builds upon the theory of reasoned action, suggesting that individuals make rational and well-thought-out decisions to engage in certain behaviours by assessing the information they have. It states that three factors affect individual behaviour, and they include positive or negative attitude toward actual behaviour, subjective norms, and perceived behavioural controls. Therefore, an individual's intention to engage in a behaviour becomes stronger when they have a more positive attitude toward it, perceive greater social approval, and feel a higher sense of control over their actions (Kimiyagahlam et al., 2019). The theory of planned behaviour can be summarised into six main influences on an individual’s behaviours. These include attitudes, intention to act, subjective norms, social norms, perceived authority, and perceived control over behaviour (LaMorte, 2022). In the context of saving, Rahmawati & Asandimitra (2018) found that social environment have an impact on saving behaviour. This is because individual background such as experience, knowledge, age, and gender have an influence on their behaviours. Additionally, subjective norms such as social pressure also influence saving intentions. She et al. (2023) found that financial knowledge is positively related to retirement attitude which in turn had a positive relationship towards retirement planning. 12 Criticism of the theory of planned behaviour argue that it is limited by its assumptions. The theory bases it assumption that individuals act rationally which is not the case. Additionally, it does not take into consideration the economic and environmental factors that may influence a person’s behaviour. Furthermore, the theory assumes that individual have all the resources and opportunities available to make successful behavioural action. It also assumes that decision making is linear and does not take into consideration that can change over time (LaMorte, 2022). The theory of planned behaviour model provides a basis for a comprehensive measure of retirement planning. In considering the factors, this theory supports the second objective of the study, which investigates the influence of psychosocial factors specifically financial literacy, attitudes toward saving, and future orientation on retirement saving behaviour. The theory of planned behaviour provides a framework for understanding how behavioural intent is formed and how it translates into action i.e. saving. The theory is especially relevant in the Kenyan youth context, where saving for retirement often competes with more immediate financial needs and limited behavioural reinforcement. It explains why even financially capable individuals may not save if they lack motivation, face social discouragement, or feel that saving is outside their control due to external constraints. In this regard, the theory of planned behaviour enhances the study’s behavioural dimension by illustrating how individual cognition and social influences shape retirement planning decisions, beyond purely economic considerations 2.3. Empirical literature This section presents a critical review of empirical studies that explore the socio-economic, psychosocial and institutional factors influencing retirement saving behaviour. It adopts a funnel approach, beginning with global studies, narrowing to other developing countries, and concluding with evidence from Kenya. The review identifies the methodologies used in each study, outlines their geographic scope, and provides an analytical critique of their findings, limitations and policy relevance. 2.3.1. Socio-Economic Factors Influencing Retirement Saving Behaviour At the global level, Lusardi and Mitchell (2011) conducted a series of surveys across the United States and Europe using cross-sectional data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) and 13 Financial Literacy Surveys. Their econometric analysis showed that individuals with higher education, stable income and full-time employment were more likely to plan for retirement. These findings support the Life-Cycle Hypothesis, which assumes people smooth consumption over their lifetime. The strength of their work lies in the breadth of datasets and rigorous modelling. However, the assumption of rational decision-making and formal income structures limits its relevance for populations with irregular earnings and weak social protection systems. In Indonesia, Rahmawati and Asandimitra (2018) used a structured questionnaire to collect data from 100 respondents in Surabaya, applying multiple linear regression to test the impact of income and self-efficacy on saving behaviour. While their study provided useful behavioural insights, the limited sample size and urban-only setting reduce generalisability. Similarly, Gunu and Tsado (2012) conducted a descriptive survey in Kwara State, Nigeria, to assess knowledge and participation in Nigeria’s contributory pension scheme. They identified low income and irregular employment as key deterrents. Their study offered practical insights but lacked robust statistical controls, weakening causal interpretation. In South Africa, Tustin and Strydom (2015) employed a comparative survey across formal and informal urban settlements. Their stratified random sampling approach highlighted stark differences in saving patterns, attributing them to job informality and limited employer- sponsored pensions. While comprehensive, the study’s primary limitation was its lack of psychological or institutional variables. In Kenya, Githui and Ngare (2014) used a quantitative research design with structured questionnaires distributed among Nairobi’s informal sector. Their regression analysis found a strong positive relationship between income level and retirement planning. Similarly, Gitau, Njuguna and Otsola (2011) surveyed formal sector workers in Nairobi, using descriptive and inferential statistics to link employment tenure and financial training to saving outcomes. These studies offer useful local insights. However, they focus predominantly on formal employees, lack longitudinal depth, and do not explore how informal workers adapt to income volatility. According to an Enwealth (2022) pension report, economic burdens from dependents and competing saving priorities significantly undermine pension uptake. The study’s strength is in its wide geographic coverage and integration of qualitative and quantitative findings. Still, it does not apply statistical controls to test specific relationships or explore youth-specific dynamics. 14 These findings suggest that income stability, employment formality, and financial capacity are central to retirement saving. However, most existing studies rely on cross-sectional methods, do not target youth, and fail to examine informal sector dynamics, which dominate Kenya’s labour market. 2.3.2. Psychosocial Factors Influencing Retirement Saving Behaviour A study by Hershey and Mowen (2000) using structural equation modelling based on data from the United States Retirement Confidence Survey, found that individuals with high financial literacy and future orientation were more likely to save. Their theoretical grounding in the Theory of Planned Behaviour allowed for rigorous modelling of behavioural constructs. However, the reliance on U.S. data and assumptions of financial access limit its application to developing contexts. Ismail (2013) conducted a survey of 385 university students in Malaysia, using regression analysis to explore the influence of social norms and peer influence on saving. While the study's youth focus is commendable, the student-only sample may not reflect broader socioeconomic diversity. In Uganda, Mpaata et al. (2020) applied a cross-sectional survey to staff at five public universities. Their ANOVA analysis showed that staff exposed to financial education had higher saving discipline. The study linked psychological traits to institutional exposure, but it lacked disaggregation by age and did not address informal employment. In Kenya, Githui and Ngare (2014) incorporated questions on financial literacy and behavioural beliefs in their survey of informal workers in Nairobi. They found that individuals with basic financial knowledge were more likely to engage in long-term financial planning. Similarly, Gitau, Njuguna, and Otsola (2011) reported that only 5.7% of respondents enrolled in registered pension schemes demonstrated comprehensive pension literacy. Additionally, Gathiira et al. (2019), using a mixed-method approach, found that goal setting and social reinforcement enhanced retirement preparedness in Nyeri County. While these studies offer valuable insights, they remain largely descriptive and do not evaluate the impact of specific interventions. The reviewed studies suggest that psychosocial traits such as financial knowledge, future orientation, and peer norms significantly shape saving behaviour. Yet most empirical work in Kenya and similar contexts fails to combine these factors with structural or policy variables. 15 Furthermore, few studies measure behavioural change over time or assess the impact of targeted education interventions. 2.3.3. Institutional Factors Influencing Retirement Saving Behaviour At the international level, the OECD (2016) used comparative policy reviews to show that participation in pension systems increases when transparency, regulatory oversight, and incentives are in place. However, these findings are based on countries with stable financial systems and may not address the fragmented regulatory landscapes seen in Africa. In Ghana, the National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA 2020) conducted stakeholder interviews and surveys to examine the challenges hindering pension uptake among informal sector workers. Their findings pointed to low enrolment rates, largely attributed to limited awareness and poor alignment between pension products and the needs of informal workers. This underscores a critical gap in market segmentation and product design that fails to accommodate the irregular income patterns typical in informal employment. In Nigeria, Ilesanmi and Olayemi (2018) used descriptive survey methods to explore pension participation among youth. They found that distrust in pension providers was a major barrier, rooted in bureaucratic inefficiencies and negative service experiences. While the study identifies important structural constraints, its reliance on descriptive analysis limits its ability to establish how institutional trust interacts with other variables such as financial literacy or income stability. Similarly, Tustin and Strydom (2015) examined South Africa’s hybrid pension schemes through a comparative survey of formal and informal sector workers. Their results revealed that weak implementation and insufficient outreach to younger demographics significantly hindered youth engagement. Despite highlighting institutional shortcomings, the study did not disaggregate findings by age or socio-economic status, which weakens its capacity to inform targeted interventions. Together, these studies provide useful insights into the institutional challenges affecting pension participation in African countries. However, many lack strong research methods. Most do not use advanced analysis techniques like predictive modelling, and few explore how factors such as trust, access, and communication work together to influence youth saving behaviour. As a result, their findings offer limited guidance for designing pension systems that effectively meet the needs of young people. 16 In Kenya, Aluodi et al. (2017) conducted a survey among pension contributors and found that individuals with access to formal pension schemes were more likely to save. However, the study sample primarily consisted of salaried workers, limiting its applicability to informal sector participants. A study by Enwealth (2022) identified several practical barriers to pension uptake, including complex documentation requirements, inadequate customer service, and limited integration with mobile platforms. Similarly, Githui and Ngare (2014) emphasised the impact of mistrust arising from past mismanagement of pension funds, which further discourages youth from participating. While these studies offer valuable insights into structural challenges, they fall short of examining how trust, access, and financial literacy collectively shape retirement saving behaviour. The reviewed studies indicate that institutional access, trust in financial systems, and the design of pension services are critical factors in influencing retirement saving. However, most empirical research in Kenya and similar contexts remains largely descriptive and does not adequately explore how institutional reforms impact youth, particularly those in informal employment. Additionally, there is limited empirical testing of mobile-based or digital pension innovations, despite their increasing relevance in expanding access and engagement among younger populations. 2.3.4. Summary of reviewed literature The reviewed literature demonstrates that retirement saving behaviour is shaped by a complex interplay of socio-economic, psychosocial, and institutional factors. Two key theories underpin this understanding. The Life-Cycle Hypothesis (Modigliani, 1957) emphasises the role of income, employment, and forward planning, suggesting that individuals save during high- income periods to maintain consumption in later life. However, this model assumes rational behaviour and income stability, which are often absent in contexts like Kenya where informal employment is widespread. Consequently, the model’s assumptions limit its relevance for low- income earners and young people with irregular income streams. To address these behavioural dimensions, the Theory of Planned Behaviour (Ajzen, 1985) provides a complementary perspective. It posits that saving behaviour is influenced by individual attitudes, perceived social norms, and the perceived ability to act. This theory explains why even financially capable individuals may not engage in retirement saving if they lack motivation, face peer pressure, or perceive external constraints beyond their control. It is 17 particularly relevant for youth, who may prioritise short-term financial needs and lack consistent behavioural reinforcement. Empirical studies affirm that income stability, formal employment, and financial literacy are key predictors of retirement saving across both developed and developing countries. However, much of this evidence is drawn from formal sector contexts and cross-sectional designs, limiting its applicability to youth and informal workers. In Kenya, studies reveal that youth participation in retirement saving remains low, with limited access to pension products, inadequate service delivery, and deep-seated mistrust in pension providers continuing to hinder engagement. While behavioural traits such as future orientation, goal setting, and peer influence are positively linked to saving, these are often studied in isolation from structural constraints. Very few studies integrate psychological and institutional factors in a unified model. Moreover, there is limited use of longitudinal or experimental approaches, which restricts understanding of behavioural change over time or in response to specific interventions. Across both theory and practice, a consistent message emerges: improving retirement saving among youth requires addressing both behavioural intent and structural opportunity. Most existing research mainly describes patterns. It does not use advanced analysis, and rarely tests practical solutions like digital pension plans, financial reminders, or peer-based education programmes. This gap is especially critical in developing countries, where economic vulnerability, low trust, and fragmented financial systems reduce participation in long-term saving schemes. These findings highlight the need for research that focuses on youth and considers their economic, behavioural, and institutional challenges . Such research is key to creating pension solutions that are practical, inclusive, and suited to Kenya’s changing job and financial environment. 2.3.5. Research gaps A review of the empirical literature reveals several important gaps. These gaps relate to both the content and design of existing studies. They also highlight missed opportunities to examine youth saving behaviour in settings like Nairobi. Using the framework developed by Miles 18 (2017), seven distinct gaps can be identified in the literature. These gaps help justify the current study. First, there is a clear population gap. Most studies focus on adults in formal employment. Youth, especially those working informally, are often left out. For example, Gitau, Njuguna and Otsola (2011) focus on scheme members with regular jobs. Study by Enwealth (2022) presents national data, but it does not explore saving behaviour among young people in informal settings. This creates a blind spot in understanding a population that faces high levels of income insecurity and long-term financial vulnerability. Second, there is an empirical gap. While several studies provide descriptive insights, few offer strong empirical testing. Most do not use robust data to evaluate the relationship between financial literacy, trust, access, and saving outcomes. For example, Gathiira et al. (2019) and Aluodi et al. (2017) provide helpful observations, but they stop short of testing these relationships in a structured way. A lack of rigorous empirical work limits our ability to draw firm conclusions or inform policy. Third, there is a methodological gap. Many of the reviewed studies use simple survey methods and cross-sectional designs. For example, Rahmawati and Asandimitra (2018) rely on a small sample in a single city. These approaches do not support causal inference. They also fail to show how saving behaviour may change over time or in response to interventions. There is a need for more advanced methods such as multi-variable regression, mixed methods, or longitudinal approaches. Fourth, there is a knowledge gap. There is limited information on how young people make financial decisions under conditions of uncertainty. Studies such as Mpaata et al. (2020) and Ismail (2013) highlight the role of peer influence and education. However, they do not explain how these behavioural factors interact with broader issues such as product design or institutional trust. In Kenya, there is little research on how mobile money and digital platforms affect retirement saving among youth. Fifth, there is a theoretical gap. Many studies use traditional models such as the Life-Cycle Hypothesis or the Theory of Planned Behaviour. These models assume stable incomes and access to formal employment. Yet, most Kenyan youth work in informal jobs with unpredictable earnings. Applying these theories without adjustment fails to reflect the financial 19 realities faced by many young savers. There is a need to rethink or adapt theory to better match local conditions. Sixth, there is an evidence gap. The literature includes some conflicting results. For instance, Enwealth (2022) suggests that people want to save but are held back by low incomes. In contrast, Githui and Ngare (2014) argue that lack of knowledge is the bigger problem. These contradictions point to the need for further investigation. It is important to test how economic and behavioural factors work together to influence saving. Finally, there is a practical knowledge gap. Most studies do not lead to practical action. While regulators such as the Retirement Benefits Authority promote financial literacy, these programmes are not always informed by evidence. Few studies assess the impact of digital pension tools or simplified registration systems on saving behaviour. Bridging this gap requires research that produces recommendations relevant to both policy and practice. In light of these gaps, this study focuses on youth in Nairobi County. It includes informal sector workers who are often overlooked in retirement research. The study uses a mixed-method approach to explore the interaction of socio-economic, behavioural, and institutional factors. It also tests how these factors shape saving decisions. The goal is to generate findings that are both empirically sound and useful for designing products and policies that support youth retirement saving in Kenya Table 2.1: Summary of Reviewed Literature and Identified Gaps Author(s) Focus of Study Methodology and Findings Knowledge Gaps Focus of the Current Study Modigliani (1957) Life-cycle savings and consumption behaviour Theoretical; saving increases in high- income years to smooth lifetime consumption Neglects institutional and social influences The current study draws on Modigliani's theory to explore how income and employment affect saving behaviour among youth in informal employment settings. Ajzen (1985) Planned behaviour theory for decision- making Theory development; intentions influenced by attitudes, norms, and control Ignores economic and policy constraints The current study uses Ajzen's model to examine how financial literacy, attitudes, and perceived control influence youth saving intentions in Kenya. 20 Author(s) Focus of Study Methodology and Findings Knowledge Gaps Focus of the Current Study Lusardi and Mitchell (2011) Financial literacy and retirement planning in the US and Europe Cross-sectional econometric survey; education and employment increase planning Assumes rationality and stable income, lacks informal sector perspective Building on Lusardi and Mitchell, this study extends the analysis of financial literacy and employment to informal youth in Nairobi. Rahmawati and Asandimitra (2018) Income and self- efficacy in retirement saving in Indonesia Regression on structured questionnaires; income and self- confidence predict saving Small urban sample, limits generalisation The current study builds on Rahmawati and Asandimitra by applying self-efficacy and income constructs to youth saving behaviour in a low- income Kenyan context. Gunu and Tsado (2012) Pension awareness and participation in Nigeria Descriptive survey; low income and mistrust reduce participation No robust statistical control, weak inference This study responds to Gunu and Tsado by investigating how trust and income barriers affect pension participation among youth in the informal sector. Tustin and Strydom (2015) Saving behaviour in formal vs informal sectors in South Africa Comparative stratified survey; informal work weakens saving patterns Lacks behavioural and institutional variables The current study addresses gaps identified by Tustin and Strydom by integrating behavioural and institutional variables in the analysis of Kenyan youth. Githui and Ngare (2014) Income and saving behaviour in Nairobi’s informal sector Quantitative regression; income linked positively to retirement saving Focuses on formal sector, no longitudinal data Expanding on Githui and Ngare, the current study focuses on informal youth in Nairobi and incorporates recent economic changes. Gitau, Njuguna and Otsola (2011) Employment and pension training among Nairobi workers Descriptive and inferential statistics; tenure and training support saving Ignores informal worker dynamics The current study extends Gitau et al.'s findings by incorporating informal employment and examining the behavioural drivers of youth saving. Enwealth (2022) Barriers to pension uptake in Kenya Mixed-method; documentation, service, and digital access as barriers Descriptive only, lacks youth focus and causal insight This study builds on Enwealth's findings by investigating practical access barriers for informal youth and testing behaviour-based solutions. 21 Author(s) Focus of Study Methodology and Findings Knowledge Gaps Focus of the Current Study Hershey and Mowen (2000) Behavioural traits and saving confidence in the US Structural modelling; future orientation and literacy improve saving Formal-only context, limited Low & Middle Income Countries relevance The current study applies Hershey and Mowen's behavioural insights to a youth- specific, informal Kenyan context to evaluate saving readiness. Ismail (2013) Social norms and saving among Malaysian students Regression; peer norms affect saving behaviour Unrepresentative sample, narrow scope Expanding on Ismail's findings, this study examines the impact of peer norms on saving behaviour among youth outside the formal education system. Mpaata et al. (2020) Financial education and saving among Ugandan university staff Cross-sectional ANOVA; financial education improves saving discipline No youth focus, lacks behavioural analysis The current study builds on Mpaata et al. by focusing on the effects of financial education on retirement saving behaviour among youth in Kenya. Gathiira et al. (2019) Goal setting and saving behaviour in Nyeri County, Kenya Mixed-method; goal setting boosts preparedness No experimental design, descriptive This study adopts Gathiira et al.'s focus on goal-setting but applies it to youth in Nairobi's informal economy using a more analytical approach. Aluodi et al. (2017) Access to pensions and saving behaviour in Kenya Survey; access to formal pensions increases saving Salaried bias, excludes informal sector Expanding on Aluodi et al., this study investigates access and trust issues among informal sector youth rather than salaried employees. Ilesanmi and Olayemi (2018) Trust and participation in pensions in Nigeria Descriptive survey; mistrust and poor service reduce participation No modelling or youth-specific analysis This study addresses gaps in Ilesanmi and Olayemi by modelling the interaction between trust, financial literacy, and pension uptake among youth. OECD (2016) Policy and regulation impact on pension participation Policy review; transparency and incentives increase engagement Limited applicability to fragmented systems The current study uses OECD policy lessons to inform youth- focused recommendations that respond to fragmented regulatory realities in Kenya. 22 2.4. Conceptual Framework Independent Variable Dependent Variable The study sought to examine factors that influence retirement saving of youth. The dependent variable is retirement saving. The independent variables include socio-economic factors: income levels, employment status, education, family obligations, financial literacy; psychological factors: attitudes, motivation, future time perspective; institutional factors: access to formal financial services, pension scheme features and regulatory frameworks. Predications were made to demonstrate the relationship between the factors as shown on figure 2.1. Socio-Economic Factors (income levels, employment status, education, family obligations, financial literacy) Psychological Factors (attitudes, motivation, future time perspective) Institutional Factors: (access to formal financial services, pension scheme features, and regulatory frameworks) Retirement saving among youth (Adequate savings, investment diversification) Figure 2.1: Conceptual Framework 23 2.5. Operationalization of variables The following framework (Table 2.2: Definition and measurement of variables) describes the variable and measurements that was used in the study. Table 2.2: Definition and measurement of variables VARIABLE DEFINITION MEASUREMENT Dependent Variable Retirement saving Savings set aside for retirement Average monthly savings in Kenya shillings Socio- Economic factors Age Number of years lived Ordinal variable Gender Classification of individual as male female or other Binary variable Marital status Relationship status Categorical Variable Education Highest level of education attained Categorical Variable Dependents Individual that relies on the survey participant Number of individuals who rely on the survey participant Income Amount of money earned by an individual Average monthly income in Kenya shillings Employment type Classification of an individual’s work status Binary variable Occupation period Span of time during which an individual is actively engaged in employment Number of years worked 24 VARIABLE DEFINITION MEASUREMENT Employment sector Classification of employment sector Binary variable Saving rate Proportion of income that is saved Monthly saving as percentage of income Saving approach Methods used to save Categorical Variable Savings as part of household Budget allocation Savings as a priority in household budget allocation each month Likert Scale Psychological factors Financial literacy Rating of knowledge needed to make informed financial decisions Likert scale Financial goals Retirement saving as priority financial goal Likert scale Retirement saving Retirement Saving activity Binary variable Retirement saving rate Proportion of income that is retirement savings Monthly retirement savings as percentage of income Retirement saving plan Type of retirement saving plan Categorical Variable Financial risk tolerance Financial risk tolerance level Likert scale 25 VARIABLE DEFINITION MEASUREMENT Retirement saving challenges Challenges/ barriers to saving for retirement Identified key challenges to saving for retirement Saving motivation Mindset/beliefs/feelings that individuals hold towards retirement saving. Key motivators to save or not save for retirement Institutional Factors Retirement age policy Retirement age as factor to start planning and saving early. Likert Scale Tax incentives Extent to which measures provide for favourable participation in retirement saving Likert Scale Availability of public and private pension plans Perceptions that individuals hold towards retirement saving in public or private pension plans Motivation towards saving in public or private pension plans 26 CHAPTER 3: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 3.1. Introduction This chapter examines the methodology that was used in this study. The chapter looked into the research philosophy, research approach, research design, population sample, data collection, data analysis and ethical considerations. 3.2. Research Philosophy Research philosophy refers to the assumptions that guide the development of a study and contribute to the generation of new knowledge (Saunders et al., 2015). According to Saunders et al. (2015), these assumptions can be categorised into three types: ontological, which relate to the nature of reality; epistemological, which concern how knowledge about that reality can be acquired; and axiological, which address the researcher’s values and how they may influence the research process. This study followed a positivist research philosophy. This is because positivism is anchored to the view that real knowledge is gained from observations that involve measurements which are trustworthy (Collins, 2010). Additionally, positivism relies on a deductive method where a researcher has to verify a priori hypotheses using factual data, deriving relationships between causal and explanatory factors (Park et al., 2020). This made the philosophy appropriate for this researcher as it sought to establish the relationship between socioeconomic, psychological and institutional factors and the impact on retirement savings among the youth in Nairobi, Kenya. This way, the research would establish which factors were enablers or impeded retirements saving among the youth. Researchers who have employed the positivist approach to studies argue that knowledge should be developed objectively without the biases and beliefs of the researcher influencing the study (Park et al., 2020). In order to achieve the truth, Hansen (2004) suggests separating the researcher from the study’s participants through dualism and objectivity. This is done through research protocols to reduce biases in studies. Positivist research philosophy limits the researcher to data collection only and interpreting the data in an objective manner. Positivist research relies solely on quantifiable and measurable observations that can be statistically analysed for generalisation, interpretation, and knowledge production (Yee & Khin, 2010). Given these characteristics, it was an appropriate approach for 27 this study. Moreover, the researcher was distinct from the participants to achieve objectivity in its findings. 3.3. Research Approach Given the research philosophy adopted by the study, a mixed method approach was employed. This involved the use of both qualitative and quantitative data to assess the factors influencing retirement saving behaviours among youth in Nairobi County, Kenya. Creswell (1999) explains that a mixed-method approach, particularly in policy research, enables researchers to gain an in-depth understanding of complex phenomena through quantitative data and to validate or elaborate on findings using qualitative insights. Similarly, Rossman and Wilson (1985) argue that mixed methods enable researchers to examine problems from multiple perspectives. This approach allows for the application of diverse methodologies that are better suited to addressing the varied needs of stakeholders. As a result, mixed methods offer more balanced and comprehensive solutions compared to single-method designs. For the quantitative part, the study undertook a cross-sectional survey to examine the relationships between socio-economic, psychological and institutional factors and how they influence retirement savings among the youth. On the other hand, qualitative data was gathered using unstructured interview guides. However, the study acknowledges certain limitations inherent in the chosen methodology, including reliance on self-reported data, which may be subject to recall bias or social desirability effects, and the cross-sectional design, which restricts the ability to draw causal inferences from observed relationships. 3.4. Research Design A study’s research design is the blueprint on how data will be collected from a target population. According to Creswell & Creswell (2018), there exists three main mixed methods research designs: the convergent design, the explanatory sequential design, and the exploratory sequential design. This study adopted the explanatory sequential design. Both qualitative and quantitative data are collected and analysed separately. The results are then merged and interpreted to compare whether they confirm the phenomenon under study or not. The study was cross-sectional in nature and utilised an explanatory design. This design allows researchers to collect both quantitative and qualitative data by first collecting quantitative data and analysing it and then collecting qualitative data to explain further the quantitative results 28 (Ivankova et al., 2006). This design was better suited for this study because it gave a general representation of the research problem and more qualitative data was used to give in-depth insights to explain the research problem. In this case, the quantitative data was used to show the relationship between socio-economic, psychological and institutional factors with regard to their influence on retirements saving behaviour among the youth in Nairobi. With the correlation between the variables under study, qualitative data from industry experts and policymakers was used to explain further how these factors influence retirement savings behaviour among the youth. 3.5. Population of the Study The study population for this research was Kenyan youth aged between 18-35 years as prescribed by the Kenyan constitution, and who reside in Nairobi County working in the formal or informal sector. The 2019 census report placed Nairobi County at 4,397,073 with youth making up 2,154,266 of the population (KNBS, 2019). The focus on youth in this study of retirement saving behaviour in Kenya is highly significant from demographic, economic, developmental, and policy dimensions. Kenya’s population is estimated to be youthful with at least 70% of the population being under 35 (KNBS, 2019). This implies that in the future, there will be a significant impact on national economic stability on social welfare systems at the point of the youth retiring. The youth are therefore a significant demographic for this study in identifying how to alleviate possible old age poverty in coming years while ensuring national economic stability on social welfare systems. The research employed stratified sampling to generate the target population of the study. This means using the administrative boundaries of subcounty level. The table 3.1 shows the total population of the Nairobi sub counties. Table 3.1: Population of Nairobi sub counties Subcounty 2009 Census Population 2019 Census Population Proportion of Population Dagoretti 294,222 434,208 10% Embakasi 663,211 988,808 22% Kasarani 525,624 780,656 18% 29 Subcounty 2009 Census Population 2019 Census Population Proportion of Population Njiru 283,449 626,482 14% Westlands 247,102 308,854 7% Kamukunji 220,659 268,276 6% Starehe 159,709 210,423 5% Mathare 193,416 206,564 5% Lang'ata 178,282 197,489 4% Makadara 160,434 189,536 4% Kibra 212,261 185,777 4% The total population of Nairobi County is 4,397,073 people according to the 2019 Population Census. Given that 49% of the population is made up of the youth between 18 -34 years, it implies that this research study would be targeting a population of 2,154,566 youth. It is important to note that there are no studies documenting the number of youths engaged in both formal and informal employment hence this target population. 3.6. Sampling and Sample Size In determining the population sample, the sample size for this study was determined using (Cochran, 1977) formula as follows: 𝑛 𝑁 1 𝑁 𝑒 Where: 𝑛 Sample size 𝑁 Target population size (2,154,566 youth in Nairobi County) 𝑒 Margin of error Consequently, 𝑛 2,154,566 1 2,154,566 0.05 399.8 30 Assuming a confidence level of 95% and a margin of error of 5%, the sample size was determined to be 400 participants. To achieve the number of respondents making up the sample size (400 youth), this study employed proportional allocation of the sample size to each of the strata (subcounty). Table 3.2 shows the number of respondents expected from each subcounty. Table 3.2: Calculated Sample Size Subcounty 2019 Census Population Proportion of Population Allocated Sample Size Embakasi 988,808 22% 90 Kasarani 780,656 18% 71 Njiru 626,482 14% 57 Dagoretti 434,208 10% 39 Westlands 308,854 7% 28 Kamukunji 268,276 6% 24 Starehe 210,423 5% 19 Mathare 206,564 5% 19 Lang'ata 197,489 4% 18 Makadara 189,536 4% 17 Kibra 185,777 4% 17 The sampling procedure included all the 11 sub counties within Nairobi County. The sample included a further stratification of socioeconomic status was undertaken as follows: i. Higher socioeconomic status: Parts of Westlands, Langata, and portions of Dagoretti North. ii. Middle-income areas: Parts of Kasarani, Embakasi East, and Roysambu iii. Lower-income areas including Mathare, Kibra, parts of Embakasi West, and Kamukunji. With regard to the formal and informal sectors, the study used findings from a working paper by KIPPRA (Okara & Obiero, 2018) that shows: i. Formal sector employment: More prevalent in central business districts and commercial hubs like Westlands, Central Business District (in Starehe sub-county), and industrial areas in Embakasi. 31 ii. Informal sector employment: Widespread throughout the county but particularly concentrated in areas like Gikomba (Kamukunji), Githurai (between Roysambu and Kasarani), and various markets in Embakasi and Eastlands areas. iii. Self-employment: Distributed across all sub-counties but with different characteristics - high-end professional services in wealthier areas like Westlands and Kilimani, and small-scale entrepreneurship in middle and lower-income areas. A control group of youth who are not in gainful employment were surveyed as a part of the sample size to compare the factors affecting retirement saving among the youth with gainful employment and those without. This was important to the study to determine whether gainful employment does or does not influence retirement saving among the youth. After the socioeconomic and sectoral stratification, the study adopted simple random sampling to select the eligible respondents for the study from the sub counties in Nairobi. This means that every individual had an equal chance of being selected to participate in the study. To get to the actual number required per sub county, the study considered proportional allocation after socioeconomic stratification of the sub counties (20% came from the formal sector, 20% came from the informal sector, 20% came from self-employed – formal sector, 20% from the self- employed informal sector while the remaining 20% came from those who are unemployed) as shown on table 3.3. The selection considered gender (targeting 50% male and 50% female participants) and age brackets (33.3% for each of the 3) to allow for representation of the target population. Table 3.3: Sample size per sector per subcounty Subcounty Allocated Sample Size Formal sector employment Informal sector employment Self- employed - Formal sector Self- employed - Informal sector Unemployed Embakasi 90 18 18 18 18 18 Kasarani 71 14 14 14 14 14 Njiru 57 11 11 11 11 11 Dagoretti 39 8 8 8 8 8 Westlands 28 6 6 6 6 6 32 Subcounty Allocated Sample Size Formal sector employment Informal sector employment Self- employed - Formal sector Self- employed - Informal sector Unemployed Kamukunji 24 5 5 5 5 5 Starehe 19 4 4 4 4 4 Mathare 19 4 4 4 4 4 Lang'ata 18 4 4 4 4 4 Makadara 17 3 3 3 3 3 Kibra 17 3 3 3 3 3 To validate and give further insights on the retirement savings behaviour among the youth in Kenya, the study sought to collect data from at least twelve key informants who included financial institutions and policymakers in pension and retirement benefits bodies in Kenya. This was to give further insights into the unique social, economic, and institutional contextual factors that influence retirement savings behaviour among the young people in Kenya. Purposive sampling was used to identify key informant participants based on their expertise, willingness and availability. The key informants included policymakers from Retirement Benefits Authority (RBA) and National Social Security Fund (NSSF); and financial providers/ pension administrators from Association of Kenya Insurers (AKI), Enwealth Financial Services, Liaison Financial Services. Further, a snowball sampling technique was adopted where the first group of respondents enlisted future participants from their circle of associates. An interview schedule was carried out by the researcher until the point of saturation (when additional participants to the study do not yield new insights or perspectives) was reached. According to Hennink & Kaiser (2022), there are no adequate sample sizes known for saturation. However, the researchers concluded that saturation can be achieved in a narrow range of interviews of between 9 to 17 participants. This study realised that after 9 interviews, there were no new insights or perspectives that were being added to the phenomenon under study and thus completed the interviews after 11 key informants. 33 3.7. Data Collection methods To comprehensively examine the factors influencing retirement saving behaviours among Kenyan youth, this study used a semi structured questionnaire as the primary data collection tool. The questionnaire was designed to have Likert scales and closed ended questions to collect quantitative data on the factors influencing retirement saving behaviours among youth in Nairobi County, Kenya. This approach allowed participants to express their opinions objectively. Moreover, the quantitative data gained allowed for statistical evaluation to identify any patterns and trends among the variables. Open ended questions were added to the semi structured questionnaire to allow participants to give their perceptions and insights regarding the research questions. The questionnaire was digitised and administered using tablets/ smartphones in order to maximise efficiency of data collection and analysis and full cross- tabulation of information about retirement saving among the youth in Kenya. In addition to the survey, an unstructured interview guide was developed to gather qualitative insights from experts and policymakers on the factors influencing retirement saving behaviour among the youth. Unstructured interview guides gave flexibility to the respondents to explore emerging themes and further insights that would guide the study. The key informants, among them RBA, NSSF, Association of Kenya Insurers, Enwealth Financial Services and Liaison Financial Services were identified from key literature review sources and the researcher used purposive and snowballing techniques to identify and locate them. 3.7.1. Data Collection Procedure The researcher received the required approvals from Strathmore University and NACOSTI before the data collection exercise. The second process of the data collection exercise involved the researcher having an introduction letter of the researcher and the participant informed consent outlining the purpose of the study for the respondents (targeted youth, financial service providers and policymakers in the field of pension). Given the sample size and time constraints, the researcher used research assistants who helped with the data collection exercise. The researcher identified, interviewed, selected, engaged and trained research assistants who were residents of or very well versed with the sub counties under study. The researcher trained the research assistants in the data collection methodology and administered the questionnaire together with them after receiving the consent to collect data from the targeted respondents 34 A pilot study was conducted before the main data collection exercise to test the validity and reliability of the questionnaire items. Necessary recommended corrections were made before rolling out the main data collection. For respondents who wanted to self-administer the questionnaire, they were given up to two weeks to fill in the questionnaire. Follow ups were made via emails and phone calls to make sure that the respondents completed filling the questionnaires. Throughout the data collection process, ethical standards were strictly adhered to. These included confidentiality and anonymity of respondents, strict adherence to the Data Protection Act of Kenya (2019), and respect of all respondents. Data was collected from at least 350 youth within Nairobi and 11 key informants who included, policy makers, pension providers/ administrators and financial providers/educators. The researcher collected the primary data in April 2025. 3.8. Reliability and validity of instruments To guarantee the reliability and validity of data collection instruments, the use of standardised tools was crucial in maintaining objectivity and consistency. Ensuring high research quality requires employing a well-established and dependable data collection method, selecting a sample size that accurately represents the target population, and implementing a rigorous and systematic data analysis procedure. By adhering to these principles, the research produced credible and meaningful findings that contribute to a more accurate understanding of the subject matter (Mugenda & Mugenda, 1999). 3.8.1. Reliability To ensure the reliability of the survey questionnaire, a pilot study was conducted with a sample drawn from the population under the study. The purpose of the pretest was to allow the assessment of the validity and gauge the consistency and stability of the questionnaire. The respondents involved in the pretest were separate from those who took part in the main study, contributing to the external validity of the research. Moreover, any ambiguities and inconsistencies identified by the pilot study were used to adjust the questionnaire. Internal consistency reliability was determined using statistical measures-Cronbach’s alpha coefficient. This analysis evaluated the extent to which the items in the questionnaire are interrelated and measure the same construct consistently. A strong relationship with a 35 Cronbach’s alpha value of more than 0.70 therefore indicated good internal consistency (Tavakol & Dennick, 2011). Table 3.4: Reliability test results Scale Number of Items Cronbach's Alpha Interpretation Financial Literacy 5 0.82 Good reliability Risk Attitude 4 0.78 Acceptable reliability Future Orientation 4 0.81 Good reliability Trust in Financial Institutions 3 0.73 Acceptable reliability Retirement Planning Behaviour 6 0.85 Good reliability Note: Alpha values > 0.7 indicate acceptable reliability, > 0.8 indicate good reliability Table 3.4 shows the results of the diagnostic test that was conducted. The results indicate that all the statements had a Cronbach’s alpha value that was greater than 0.7, indicating internal consistency within the questionnaire hence reliable data. 3.8.2. Validity Validity refers to how well a study accurately measures the specific concept that research is attempting to examine. It’s a crucial concept that ensures that study findings are credible, accurate and that the measurement tool is relevant and is suitable for its intended purpose. Shadish et al., (2002, p.34) further infers that “without validity, research results can be misleading, leading to incorrect conclusions and potentially flawed applications.” Content validity by experts of the topic under study was used to examine whether this study comprehensively covers the concepts to be measured. Content validity according to Creswell & Creswell (2018) ensures that the assessment tool used in a study represents the concept under review. The experts panel assessed the clarity, relevance, and appropriateness of each questionnaire item, providing valuable insights to enhance its content and ensure alignment with the research objectives. Further, pilot testing was undertaken to assess performance of the measurement tool where feedback was analysed for suitability and any other issues to be reviewed to enhance content validity as recommended by (Tan, 2014). 36 3.9. Data analysis The data analysis process involved clean-up of collected data, synthesis, analysis, and interpretation of both qualitative and quantitative data using an appropriate statistical analysis program. The quantitative data that was collected was analysed using IBM’s SPSS software version 25 while qualitative data was analysed using thematic coding. 3.9.1. Quantitative Data Analysis For quantitative data, descriptive and inferential statistical analysis was used for this study. Descriptive statistical analysis was employed to provide an overview of the demographic characteristics of the respondents and key variables. The study used frequencies and percentages for categorical variables (socio-economic variables, saving methods, enablers and barriers to retirements savings, among others); measures of central tendency and dispersion including mean, median, mode, variance and standard deviation for continuous variables (age at planned retirement, percentage of income supporting dependents, years in employment, number of dependents, percentage contribution to retirement savings, financial literacy score, risk tolerance score, etc.); cross-tabulations to examine relationships between variables and identify patterns that might not appear in simple frequency distributions. These cross- tabulations may include demographic variables versus retirement saving behaviour (for example education level versus contribution proportion to retirement savings), psychological factors versus saving behaviour (“I find it difficult to sacrifice current consumption" × proportion currently saving for retirement) and institutional factors versus saving behaviour (financial education received × percentage currently saving for retirement). Statistical testing was employed on the cross tabulations to ensure statistical significance. For this study, the Chi- Square test was used to determine if the observed distributions were significantly different from expected distributions. Further to descriptive statistical analysis, inferential statistical methods was applied to the quantitative data to explore relationships and patterns within the data. Chi-square tests were used to examine associations between demographic variables and retirement saving behaviour while correlational analysis was used to examine relationships between continuous variables. ANOVA and t-tests were used to compare means across different groups in the study v